As with most years, there are multiple locks for certain awards. I'll share my thoughts on the big awards.Best Actor - Daniel Day-Lewis, LincolnThere really is no other likely choice here. It' DDL all day, and I'm okay with that, because he was great.Best Actress - Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings PlaybookI love this movie more and more as I continue to think about it. Much of that love comes from the performances of the two main actors (as well as David O. Russell's direction. More on that shortly). JLaw and Bradley Cooper both played their roles wonderfully, and the former just blew me away with how good she was. I'd say this is almost another lock, Jessica Chastain being a possible contender, as well.Best Supporting Actor - Tommy Lee Jones, LincolnThis one is less obvious than the other acting catagories, but I really enjoyed TLJ's performance. He was one of my favorite parts of Lincoln. That being said, I wouldn't mind if any of the contenders in this catagory won. Philip Seymour Hoffman, Christoph Waltz, Alan Arkin and Robert De Niro were all great. This is probably the toughest and most interesting catagory.Best Supporting Actress - Anne Hathaway, Les MiserablesAs much as I didn't care for this movie, this is also pretty much a guaranteed win. I don't think there's any other choice being seriously considered. Next...Best Director - Steven Spielberg, LincolnI REALLY would prefer that David O. Russell win for Silver Linings Playbook, but I don't think it's realistic to think that's actually going to happen, especially during a year when a powerhouse like Spielberg delivers a historical epic.Best Original Screenplay - Django UnchainedThis might be wishful thinking, because Zero Dark Thirty will probably win, but how can you go against Tarantino when it comes to writing? I say you can't.Best Adapted Screenplay - ArgoThis was a well-made movie in pretty much every aspect, including the writing. It will hopefully win.All that being said, F the Oscars! Looking forward to your jokes!
Oh, duh, I forgot Best Picture.Best Picture - ArgoIt's criminal that Ben wasn't nominated, but this will do. I feel like it's not beyond reason to think Lincoln or Zero Dark Thirty could potentially steal it, but Argo is a really sure bet.
Best Picture: ARGO (Ben getting snubbed for Best Director practically guarantees it).Best Director: STEVEN SPIELBERG (the consolation prize for showing restrain and a deft touch with actors/material in "Lincoln" that could have ended up like the second coming of "Warhorse").Best Actor: DANIEL DAY LEWIS (with all due respect to Dr. Riske, the best actor of our generation will win and deservedly so; right now, without looking it up, I can't even remember who else is nominated in this category and that's about right).Best Actress: JENNIFER LAWRENCE (I think she was the best thing about "Silver Linings Playbook" but that's not saying much given how shitty that movie was; wish Emmanuelle Riva would win for "Amour" instead, and if she does then there's justice in this world and in Hollywood... yeah, right)Best Supporting Actor: ALAN ARKIN (before his Golden Globes sour puss act I was pretty sure Tommy Lee Jones was a shoe-in, but now I can see this as a lead-up to the "Argo" win in the end. Doubt Christoph Waltz will win again, but if he does then hooray!)Best Supporting Actress: ANNE HATHAWAY (duh!). Best Foreign Language Movie: AMOUR (double duh!)Best Music Score: DARIO MARIANELLI (the only truly outstanding element of the otherwise-forgettable Joe Roth adaptation of "Anna Karenina" should be properly rewarded)My new-to-me movies for the past few days:2/21/13: "CSI" meets HBO's "Girls" if Lena Dunham was Serbo-Croatian. Dusan Makavejev's LOVE AFFAIR, OR THE CASE OF THE MISSING SWITCHBOARD OPERATOR (1967) on TCM-HD.2/22/13: Oh, no, the calls are coming from inside the camp! David Wain's WET HOT AMERICAN SUMMER (2001) on Showtime-HD.2/23/13: Sister Carol can come sing the credits to my story anytime she wants. :-) Jonathan Demme's SOMETHING WILD (1986) on MGM-HD. http://www.dvdverdict.com/juryroom/viewtopic.php?f=50&t=6028&p=74616#p74616
I'm not much of a progn-Oscar-cator (booyah!) as quite often I have not seen most of the movies in question - of this year's main contenders I've only seen Silver Linings Playbook, Beasts of the Southern Wild and Flight so, ignoring all Oscar Buzz, I'm forced to say:Best Picture - Silver Linings PlaybookBest Actor - Denzel WashingtonBest Actress - Jennifer LawrenceBest Supporting Actor - Robert DeNiroBest Supporting Actress - Jacki WeaverBest Director - David O. RussellI suspect I will be 16.666% correct on those!